Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Black Bears | Vermont Catamounts | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.1% | 52.9% | +0.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vermont Catamounts +6 (55-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kellen Tynes | 33 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +1.5 |
| Jaden Clayton | 33 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +2.3 |
| Quion Burns | 32 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | +3.8 |
| Christopher Mantis | 25 | 4-11 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +1.4 |
| A.J. Lopez | 24 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -3 | -5.5 |
| Killian Gribben | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 11 | -5.7 |
| Logan Carey | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -8.8 |
| Keelan Steele | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Ridvan Tutic | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.0 |
Vermont Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamir Bogues | 39 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Nick Fiorillo | 36 | 5-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +3.3 |
| TJ Hurley | 36 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +1.5 |
| Ileri Ayo-Faleye | 27 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +5.6 |
| Sean Blake | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | +7.0 |
| Sam Alamutu | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -8.1 |
| Jace Roquemore | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.8 |
| Noah Barnett | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Seth Joba | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter