Model Predictions
| Model | Bryant Bulldogs | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.1% | 21.9% | -7.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers -6 (86-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bryant Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earl Timberlake | 40 | 7-15 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 20 | +0.2 |
| Connor Withers | 40 | 7-14 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 23 | +1.1 |
| Rafael Pinzon | 38 | 6-19 | 1-8 | 5-7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Jakai Robinson | 33 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | -6.6 |
| Keyshawn Mitchell | 17 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | -4.3 |
| Kvonn Cramer | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Aaron Davis | 16 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | +12.2 |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Banks Jr. | 37 | 10-21 | 6-15 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Bryce Johnson | 36 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 6-9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | +5.3 |
| Josh Odunowo | 35 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | +8.5 |
| Marlon Short | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 20 | +4.0 |
| Ace Valentine | 29 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -3.3 |
| Louie Jordan | 16 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -9.5 |
| Devan Sapp | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +6.1 |
| JC Harris | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.6 |
* = starter