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2025-01-25

Model Predictions

Model UMBC Retrievers Vermont Catamounts Spread Result
Elo 16.2% 83.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% - โœ—
Margin 24.2% 75.8% +6.3 โœ— (23.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% - โœ—
Efficiency 41.1% 58.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 30.7% 69.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 30.8% 69.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 35.9% 64.1% - โœ—

Actual: Vermont Catamounts -17 (63-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Odunowo 35 9-11 0-0 1-2 10 3 4 2 2 19 25 +18.4
M. Banks Jr. 32 5-12 2-8 2-2 3 4 2 0 0 14 11 +14.4
Bryce Johnson 32 8-13 3-6 7-8 0 3 1 1 1 26 17 +15.0
Marlon Short 25 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 3 0 1 4 5 +13.0
Regimantas Ciunys 22 3-4 1-1 0-0 6 2 1 0 3 7 9 +7.1
Louie Jordan 22 2-6 2-5 2-2 4 0 0 1 1 8 6 +10.6
Ace Valentine 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 +2.4
JC Harris 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +7.0
Devan Sapp 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.9
Daylon Dickerson 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -3.0

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ileri Ayo-Faleye 32 4-15 1-7 5-6 5 3 0 2 1 14 8 -21.5
Nick Fiorillo 28 4-12 2-8 1-2 7 1 0 0 2 11 5 -17.5
Sam Alamutu 28 6-14 0-1 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 12 7 -4.9
Shamir Bogues 28 5-9 0-0 1-2 5 3 3 0 3 11 10 -15.3
Sean Blake 26 1-5 1-2 3-4 5 2 1 0 1 6 8 -8.0
Jace Roquemore 23 3-6 3-6 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 9 6 -4.2
Seth Joba 20 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 0 -2 -8.6
Noah Barnett 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.1

* = starter