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2025-01-23

Model Predictions

Model UMBC Retrievers UAlbany Great Danes Spread Result
Elo 22.0% 78.0% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 30.1% 69.9% - βœ—
Margin 29.7% 70.3% +4.7 βœ— (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% - βœ—
Efficiency 41.4% 58.6% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 35.5% 64.5% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 35.4% 64.6% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 39.3% 60.7% - βœ—

Actual: UAlbany Great Danes -5 (87-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ace Valentine 39 6-11 1-3 5-5 3 2 1 0 2 18 11 +5.2
Bryce Johnson 39 6-10 2-4 9-13 2 2 0 1 1 23 17 +1.5
M. Banks Jr. 35 6-11 2-7 7-7 6 1 3 0 5 21 15 +6.0
Louie Jordan 27 0-1 0-1 1-2 5 1 0 0 2 1 4 -1.7
Josh Odunowo 26 5-5 0-0 3-9 5 3 0 2 2 13 16 +5.2
Regimantas Ciunys 25 1-3 0-0 4-6 10 1 1 3 1 6 17 +11.9
Marlon Short 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 3 4 4 +10.0
JC Harris 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 4 -8.2
Daylon Dickerson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.1
Devan Sapp 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -3.0

UAlbany Great Danes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amar’e Marshall 43 10-20 3-10 2-2 5 3 2 0 3 25 12 -6.7
Byron Joshua 41 5-16 2-6 5-6 4 3 2 0 1 17 9 -2.8
DeMarr Langford Jr. 36 2-6 0-0 4-9 11 2 1 0 1 8 15 -10.8
Justin Neely 31 5-15 0-0 2-4 7 3 0 0 2 12 5 -13.8
Kacper Klaczek 29 3-7 0-3 2-3 6 2 1 0 0 8 10 -2.8
Amir Lindsey 25 4-6 3-4 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 11 8 +6.1
Kheni Briggs 13 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 3 2 +2.0
Zach Matulu 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0
Bautista Giralt 2 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 +2.0
Zane Adnan 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

* = starter