Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Black Bears | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.8% | 37.2% | -2.9 | ✓ (22.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers -25 (62-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Clayton | 33 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +22.2 |
| Kellen Tynes | 33 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | +20.8 |
| A.J. Lopez | 30 | 10-14 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 14 | +21.9 |
| Quion Burns | 29 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 22 | +29.6 |
| Keelan Steele | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +24.2 |
| Christopher Mantis | 19 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -7.1 |
| Logan Carey | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +0.3 |
| Ridvan Tutic | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6.8 |
| Novak Perovic | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +4.2 |
| Caleb Crawford | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.9 |
| Isaac Bonilla | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +0.9 |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Johnson | 27 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -12.1 |
| M. Banks Jr. | 25 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | -27.6 |
| Josh Odunowo | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -13.0 |
| Ace Valentine | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2 | -24.7 |
| JC Harris | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3.7 |
| Louie Jordan | 17 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Marlon Short | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -4.8 |
| Regimantas Ciunys | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -8.6 |
| Ashton Reese | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3.0 |
| Daylon Dickerson | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +2.6 |
| Devan Sapp | 6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | +4.5 |
| Tim Eze | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.4 |
| Chaydon Stone | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +1.2 |
* = starter