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2025-01-16

Model Predictions

Model New Hampshire Wildcats UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 44.0% 56.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 34.8% 65.2% - โœ—
Margin 13.0% 87.0% +10.5 โœ— (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 20.8% 79.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 20.9% 79.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 12.8% 87.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 12.8% 87.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 26.9% 73.1% - โœ—

Actual: UMBC Retrievers -3 (76-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Hampshire Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sami Pissis 34 6-18 4-12 1-1 3 2 2 0 0 17 6 -2.5
Davide Poser 32 2-7 1-4 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 5 4 +2.3
Khalil Badru 30 4-8 0-0 2-3 10 0 2 0 3 10 11 +0.3
Anthony McComb III 26 5-14 4-8 2-3 4 3 0 0 2 16 7 +1.4
Emmanuel Okpomo 23 5-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 3 10 9 +3.1
Jawarie Hamelin 22 4-7 2-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 10 8 +1.3
Caleb Middleton 15 1-1 0-0 3-5 4 0 0 0 0 5 8 -2.9
Dylan Saunders 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -0.9
Antoni Siewruk 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -2.9
Jon O'Neill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bryce Johnson 38 11-18 6-10 5-6 8 2 1 1 0 33 27 +0.4
Ace Valentine 33 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 5 0 0 3 3 2 +10.0
M. Banks Jr. 32 3-11 1-7 3-4 4 3 2 0 2 10 6 +4.0
Louie Jordan 28 4-7 3-5 2-2 6 2 0 0 1 13 13 +7.4
Josh Odunowo 24 4-10 0-1 2-4 5 1 0 1 1 10 6 -0.1
Regimantas Ciunys 18 0-1 0-1 2-4 4 0 0 0 1 2 4 -9.2
Marlon Short 11 1-3 0-0 0-1 2 2 1 0 1 2 3 -11.1
Devan Sapp 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 0 +9.9
JC Harris 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -8.1

* = starter