Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | New Hampshire Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.0% | 29.0% | -4.9 | ✗ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Hampshire Wildcats +1 (79-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Banks Jr. | 34 | 10-18 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 14 | -6.4 |
| Bryce Johnson | 33 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -23.7 |
| Marlon Short | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -12.7 |
| Ace Valentine | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Regimantas Ciunys | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | -23.6 |
| Josh Odunowo | 25 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +5.1 |
| Louie Jordan | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +8.2 |
| Ashton Reese | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Devan Sapp | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Daylon Dickerson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.0 |
New Hampshire Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davide Poser | 33 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +16.7 |
| Jawarie Hamelin | 33 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | +3.9 |
| Khalil Badru | 32 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | +6.8 |
| Sami Pissis | 32 | 7-21 | 2-13 | 11-14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 7 | +15.7 |
| Anthony McComb III | 25 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | +17.7 |
| Emmanuel Okpomo | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -10.0 |
| Antoni Siewruk | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.0 |
| Dylan Saunders | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.9 |
| Jon O'Neill | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +9.9 |
| Caleb Middleton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter