Model Predictions
| Model | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.1% | 31.9% | -4.2 | ✗ (18.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +14 (78-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garry Clark | 29 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 6 | -4.5 |
| Stephen Giwa | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | +1.4 |
| Isaac Williams | 27 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -6.2 |
| Kam Parker | 27 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +5.3 |
| Owen Dease | 22 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | -5.3 |
| Damarion Dennis | 18 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -17.6 |
| Shilo Jackson | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -7.4 |
| Leo Torbor | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Jaden Walker | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Jordan Roberts | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -6.1 |
| Dian Wright-Forde | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.2 |
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Thompson | 37 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 15 | +7.9 |
| Kyle Hayman | 32 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Chrishawn Christmas | 27 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1.8 |
| Dominic Pangonis | 26 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +14.5 |
| Nana Antwi-Boasiako | 25 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 24 | -1.3 |
| Myles Jenkins | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Keith Lamar | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +11.3 |
| Thierno Sylla | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +10.2 |
| Keenan Emmanuel | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Juhlawnei Stone | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter