Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | McNeese Cowboys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.8% | 97.2% | +19.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: McNeese Cowboys +20 (79-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nana Antwi-Boasiako | 35 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | -5.4 |
| Chrishawn Christmas | 34 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | -5.8 |
| Dominic Pangonis | 29 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | -9.8 |
| Kyle Hayman | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Keon Thompson | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -8.7 |
| Juhlawnei Stone | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -6.7 |
| Keenan Emmanuel | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4.2 |
| Clayton Southwick | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Thierno Sylla | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Ethan Mayes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
McNeese Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Shumate | 30 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Bryant Selebangue | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +11.4 |
| Javohn Garcia | 27 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +9.3 |
| Brandon Murray | 26 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | +9.4 |
| Quadir Copeland | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | +8.0 |
| Sincere Parker | 23 | 6-15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +10.5 |
| DJ Richards | 22 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +5.2 |
| T'Johnn Brown | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +4.0 |
* = starter