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2025-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Idaho Vandals Montana State Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 26.0% 74.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 34.2% 65.8% - โœ“
Margin 19.2% 80.8% +7.9 โœ“ (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 37.0% 63.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 37.0% 63.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 23.4% 76.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 23.4% 76.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.5% 67.5% - โœ“

Actual: Montana State Bobcats +15 (75-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho Vandals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Titus Yearout 28 6-10 3-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 15 6 -9.4
Kolton Mitchell 28 4-13 0-3 4-4 4 2 1 2 1 12 7 -5.5
Isaiah Brickner 25 4-10 1-3 3-4 4 2 2 0 0 12 10 -16.5
Julius Mims 24 3-4 0-0 4-4 7 0 0 1 1 10 13 -8.5
Tyler Linhardt 20 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 5 0 -3.6
Jack Payne 17 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 4 5 +2.2
Kristian Gonzalez 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 -1 -1.7
Tyler Mrus 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -9.8
Miles Klapper 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -2.8
Jojo Anderson 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -3.9
Kyson Rose 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -6.0
Takai Hardy 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +2.1
Ewan Steele 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 +1.2
Jayden Stevens 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +1.1
Jack Hatten 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +5.0

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jabe Mullins 30 4-7 2-4 0-0 5 2 2 2 1 10 13 +16.4
Tyler Patterson 28 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 2 +9.6
Patrick McMahon 27 9-15 0-2 5-8 5 0 0 0 1 23 12 +8.5
Sam Lecholat 25 3-5 0-1 4-5 6 3 0 1 1 10 14 +11.6
Bryce Zephir 21 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 2 1 0 2 5 6 -6.6
Jed Miller 21 2-3 2-3 0-0 7 2 0 0 1 6 11 +14.6
Brian Goracke 17 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 5 2 +14.8
Max Agbonkpolo 16 2-6 0-2 3-4 2 2 1 0 2 7 4 -10.4
Chika Nduka 14 3-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 6 5 +2.8
Calum Rutherfurd 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -5.1

* = starter