Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Idaho Vandals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.6% | 45.4% | -1.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho Vandals -4 (65-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake O'Neil | 37 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Dylan Darling | 37 | 7-15 | 1-6 | 4-7 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 13 | +3.3 |
| Connor Hollenbeck | 36 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | +0.4 |
| Isaiah Griffin | 26 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1.7 |
| Evan Otten | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +6.3 |
| AJ Burgin | 20 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +11.3 |
| Jackson Greene | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Blake Daberkow | 4 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -0.1 |
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mrus | 34 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Kolton Mitchell | 34 | 5-15 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | +1.4 |
| Kristian Gonzalez | 32 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Jack Payne | 31 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 17 | +1.3 |
| Julius Mims | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 14 | -8.2 |
| Tyler Linhardt | 20 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | -2.8 |
| Isaiah Brickner | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.5 |
| Titus Yearout | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6.6 |
| Jojo Anderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter