Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho Vandals | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.4% | 67.6% | +4.0 | ✗ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -5 (78-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kolton Mitchell | 36 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | +2.4 |
| Jack Payne | 31 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 18 | +7.5 |
| Tyler Linhardt | 31 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 12 | +6.6 |
| Kristian Gonzalez | 30 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4.5 |
| Titus Yearout | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +11.4 |
| Julius Mims | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -11.8 |
| Isaiah Brickner | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +2.2 |
| Tyler Mrus | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -2.8 |
| Takai Hardy | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Jojo Anderson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent McLaughlin | 40 | 10-18 | 7-11 | 8-10 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 28 | -3.3 |
| Jayden Jackson | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -4.5 |
| Diego Campisano | 29 | 3-11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -7.5 |
| Carson Towt | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | -3.4 |
| Ryan Abelman | 22 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | +3.4 |
| Oakland Fort | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +14.6 |
| Monty Bowser | 15 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | -13.1 |
| Dillan Baker | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Leigh Rickwood-Pitt | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -2.1 |
* = starter