Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho Vandals | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals +16 (87-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kolton Mitchell | 33 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | -9.9 |
| Tyler Mrus | 28 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +1.2 |
| Jack Payne | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Julius Mims | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | -4.2 |
| Kristian Gonzalez | 24 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | -7.9 |
| Tyler Linhardt | 23 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | -14.0 |
| Isaiah Brickner | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -9.6 |
| Jojo Anderson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Kyson Rose | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -3.5 |
| Takai Hardy | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.3 |
| Titus Yearout | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Miles Klapper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.0 |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Darling | 37 | 8-16 | 6-11 | 6-8 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 22 | +10.6 |
| Jake O'Neil | 35 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 1-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | +12.1 |
| Isaiah Griffin | 28 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +4.7 |
| Jackson Greene | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | +8.3 |
| Connor Hollenbeck | 24 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +5.4 |
| Blake Daberkow | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +4.1 |
| AJ Burgin | 16 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +12.6 |
| Evan Otten | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Jaedyn Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.1 |
| Quentin Meza | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Justin Graham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Joey Madimba | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Covy Kelly | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter