Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Idaho Vandals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.3% | 56.7% | +1.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Idaho Vandals -8 (72-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent McLaughlin | 39 | 5-15 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 5 | +7.6 |
| Carson Towt | 38 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 27 | +0.2 |
| Jayden Jackson | 32 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +13.4 |
| Diego Campisano | 29 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | +6.4 |
| Ryan Abelman | 24 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +16.5 |
| Monty Bowser | 17 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -7.4 |
| Leigh Rickwood-Pitt | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +5.8 |
| Oakland Fort | 6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Dillan Baker | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.1 |
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mrus | 36 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -14.3 |
| Kolton Mitchell | 35 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | +2.5 |
| Jack Payne | 34 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | +4.7 |
| Kristian Gonzalez | 30 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -16.4 |
| Julius Mims | 21 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 14 | -1.7 |
| Kyson Rose | 19 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.7 |
| Tyler Linhardt | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6.8 |
| Jojo Anderson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -4.8 |
| Isaiah Brickner | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +6.2 |
* = starter