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2025-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Idaho Vandals Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 12.4% 87.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% - โœ“
Margin 16.6% 83.4% +8.9 โœ“ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 36.6% 63.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.1% 69.9% - โœ“

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +5 (72-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho Vandals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Mrus 31 4-6 4-6 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 12 10 -5.2
Jojo Anderson 26 3-6 1-1 0-1 2 7 3 0 1 7 12 +4.1
Kristian Gonzalez 26 3-12 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 -4 -3.7
Julius Mims 25 1-3 0-0 2-6 6 1 1 0 0 4 9 -1.5
Tyler Linhardt 21 4-10 2-6 0-0 5 1 0 2 2 10 6 -0.3
Kolton Mitchell 20 0-5 0-1 5-5 1 3 1 0 2 5 3 -6.1
Jack Payne 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 3 3 -9.3
Isaiah Brickner 10 3-4 1-2 3-4 2 0 0 0 2 10 6 +14.9
Takai Hardy 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 +0.5
Miles Klapper 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +7.7
Kyson Rose 4 2-2 1-1 3-4 1 1 0 0 0 8 8 +6.4
Titus Yearout 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +5.1

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Whitney 35 6-12 4-7 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 18 9 +2.5
Money Williams 33 2-7 1-5 1-4 1 9 1 0 4 6 6 -2.0
Malik Moore 27 3-6 2-5 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 10 7 -7.7
Joe Pridgen 27 4-8 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 1 0 8 13 +0.2
Te'Jon Sawyer 24 3-4 0-1 1-2 5 2 1 1 1 7 11 -1.4
Jensen Bradtke 20 4-6 4-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 12 9 -4.1
Austin Patterson 16 3-7 1-4 2-3 2 1 1 2 1 9 7 -1.9
Kai Johnson 9 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 1 2 2 2 +0.7
Amari Jedkins 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 +3.4

* = starter