Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho Vandals | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.4% | 34.6% | -3.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -13 (67-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mrus | 36 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | +10.9 |
| Jack Payne | 36 | 7-13 | 4-9 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 20 | +10.8 |
| Tyler Linhardt | 24 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +8.2 |
| Jojo Anderson | 23 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +11.6 |
| Kolton Mitchell | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Kristian Gonzalez | 20 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | -1.5 |
| Isaiah Brickner | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +10.0 |
| Takai Hardy | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +1.9 |
| Ewan Steele | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2.8 |
| Miles Klapper | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.8 |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Skytta | 40 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -10.8 |
| Bailey Nunn | 40 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -10.8 |
| Jacob Holt | 34 | 8-14 | 2-2 | 17-21 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 32 | -15.7 |
| Lachlan Brewer | 28 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -6.6 |
| EJ Neal | 26 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -11.4 |
| Julian Vaughns | 26 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | -1.2 |
| Bowyn Beatty | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Chudi Dioramma | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter