Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho Vandals | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | +1.8 | ✗ (24.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers -23 (72-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Payne | 34 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 15 | +29.2 |
| Kolton Mitchell | 33 | 12-17 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 23 | +23.8 |
| Tyler Mrus | 32 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +17.0 |
| Kristian Gonzalez | 30 | 7-11 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | +27.1 |
| Julius Mims | 25 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | +25.2 |
| Tyler Linhardt | 16 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +3.1 |
| Takai Hardy | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Jojo Anderson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.1 |
| Jayden Stevens | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Isaiah Brickner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Jack Hatten | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Washington | 37 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 15 | -23.2 |
| Elias Ralph | 37 | 8-18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 8 | -23.2 |
| Elijah Fisher | 30 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -23.2 |
| Petar Krivokapic | 29 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | -22.1 |
| Carter Benton | 26 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -3.1 |
| Jefferson Koulibaly | 24 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -24.3 |
| Solomon Ominu | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +8.0 |
| Jazz Gardner | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.0 |
| Amare Campbell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Kris Keinys | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter