Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho Vandals | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +8 (74-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kolton Mitchell | 36 | 8-12 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 20 | -6.6 |
| Tyler Mrus | 33 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | -4.5 |
| Jojo Anderson | 28 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 6 | -3.7 |
| Takai Hardy | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -10.3 |
| Jack Payne | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +2.7 |
| Kristian Gonzalez | 18 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | -8.2 |
| Isaiah Brickner | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Tyler Linhardt | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +4.3 |
| Julius Mims | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Ewan Steele | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Miles Klapper | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.3 |
| Jayden Stevens | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo DeBruhl | 36 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | +6.6 |
| Ty Johnson | 36 | 6-17 | 0-3 | 7-14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 7 | +6.4 |
| Niko Rocak | 33 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 27 | +9.4 |
| Connor Sevilla | 27 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +3.8 |
| Pablo Tamba | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 7 | +11.1 |
| Nils Cooper | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +3.4 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -2.5 |
| Sione Lose | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.4 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
* = starter