๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2025-01-12

Model Predictions

Model William & Mary Tribe Monmouth Hawks Spread Result
Elo 53.5% 46.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 52.9% 47.1% - โœ“
Margin 37.6% 62.4% +2.8 โœ— (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 33.0% 67.0% - โœ—
Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 35.1% 64.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 34.5% 65.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.5% 59.5% - โœ—

Actual: Monmouth Hawks -9 (74-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

William & Mary Tribe

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Geddes 34 9-15 3-5 5-5 2 3 2 1 2 26 17 +3.1
B. Nascimento 34 10-18 1-4 6-7 4 4 4 0 2 27 19 +5.7
Kayla Rolph 30 3-5 2-4 2-2 5 1 1 3 0 10 15 -5.4
A. Cauley 22 6-10 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 12 7 +4.5
M. Dance 19 1-3 1-1 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 3 9 -4.5
N. Fox 18 1-2 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 0 2 3 8 +7.4
R. Frisby-Smith 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 1 -4.1
J. Sallman 15 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -4.2
E. West 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -1.9
S. LeGoullon 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4 +0.0
A. Mikeska 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +6.1

Monmouth Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damaris Rodriguez 35 12-16 3-5 0-0 3 7 0 1 4 27 18 +6.0
Taisha Exanor 34 6-13 0-2 2-3 11 1 0 1 2 14 12 -2.3
Jaye Haynes 33 2-10 1-8 5-6 4 0 1 0 2 10 3 -3.3
Ella Farrelly 31 1-4 1-3 0-0 5 2 2 3 2 3 9 -1.7
Divine Dibula 23 3-4 0-0 1-3 2 1 1 2 4 7 5 -4.1
Kemari Reynolds 20 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 3 2 0 3 6 4 -1.3
Belle Kranbuhl 17 3-7 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 0 3 7 2 +3.7
Rachel Kuhl 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.1
Kellyn Preira 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.9

* = starter