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2024-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Siena Saints Bucknell Bison Spread Result
Elo 24.6% 75.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% - โœ—
Margin 31.1% 68.9% +4.4 โœ— (17.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 45.3% 54.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 34.5% 65.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 34.2% 65.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 39.2% 60.8% - โœ—

Actual: Bucknell Bison -13 (58-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Siena Saints

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justice Shoats * 40 8-15 0-2 3-4 4 2 1 1 5 19 7 +14.5
Major Freeman * 36 6-11 3-5 6-8 3 2 2 0 2 21 15 +14.5
Brendan Coyle * 32 4-6 4-6 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 14 12 +16.3
Marcus Jackson * 19 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 4 0 0 0 2 6 +13.7
Peter Carey * 12 1-2 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 1 1 5 5 +3.4
Myles Wilmoth 26 0-3 0-0 6-6 5 2 2 3 1 6 14 +17.3
Gavin Doty 14 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -12.5
Tajae Jones 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.8
Reid Ducharme 10 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 2 +7.3

Bucknell Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Bascoe * 35 6-13 1-5 2-4 8 3 0 0 2 15 11 -13.1
Noah Williamson * 28 2-6 0-1 2-3 2 3 0 0 4 6 1 -24.0
Elvin Edmonds IV * 28 2-4 1-3 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 6 3 -17.7
Achile Spadone * 26 4-9 0-4 2-3 5 0 0 0 1 10 5 -13.4
Ruot Bijiek * 23 3-10 0-7 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 8 2 -13.6
Brandon McCreesh 26 3-6 1-2 0-2 2 0 1 1 0 7 5 -2.0
Jayden Williams 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 3 -0.8
Pip Ajayi 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 4 5 +9.6
Brady Muller 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.9

* = starter