Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.4% | 74.6% | +5.9 | ✓ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +26 (84-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Simpkins | 31 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 7-9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 17 | -26.5 |
| Nick Dorn | 30 | 3-12 | 2-9 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | -23.2 |
| Isaac Harrell | 27 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -20.2 |
| Brayden Crump | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -19.2 |
| Matthew Van Komen | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13.6 |
| D. King | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -9.8 |
| Jameel Rideout | 18 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -9.5 |
| Kendall Campbell | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Deandre Smart | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
| Trey O'Neil | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.0 |
| TK Simpkins | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -26.5 |
| Austin Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Seymour | 35 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 16 | +26.0 |
| Quimari Peterson | 35 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 20 | +28.0 |
| Karon Boyd | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15 | +32.2 |
| John Buggs III | 27 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +33.3 |
| Roosevelt Wheeler | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | +18.5 |
| Maki Johnson | 14 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | -9.2 |
| D.J. Hughes | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +11.9 |
| Davion Bradford | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -4.2 |
| Gabe Sisk | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Allen Strothers | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -7.3 |
| Timmy Fasehun | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Jaxson Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter