Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Peay Governors | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.5% | 88.5% | +11.2 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +22 (79-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quan Lax * | 38 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -20.7 |
| LJ Thomas * | 38 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | -20.5 |
| Tate McCubbin * | 29 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | -18.9 |
| Anton Brookshire * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | -10.4 |
| Daniel Loos * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -12.4 |
| Tekao Carpenter | 19 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -4.4 |
| Terrell Gaines | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -4.6 |
| Bowen Hammer | 9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -7.8 |
| Darius Dawson | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Me'Kell Burries | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3.9 |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karon Boyd * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 3 | +16.7 |
| Jaden Seymour * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | +18.6 |
| Quimari Peterson * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | +20.7 |
| John Buggs III * | 26 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +18.1 |
| D.J. Hughes * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +12.4 |
| Maki Johnson | 16 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Roosevelt Wheeler | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | +13.8 |
| Allen Strothers | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6.2 |
| Gabe Sisk | 12 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +8.0 |
| Jaxson Jones | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Timmy Fasehun | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1.0 |
| David Meriwether | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
* = starter