Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.0% | 58.0% | +1.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +10 (71-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Seymour * | 36 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | -6.0 |
| Quimari Peterson * | 34 | 9-18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | -8.0 |
| Karon Boyd * | 34 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -7.0 |
| John Buggs III * | 32 | 6-14 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0 | -5.6 |
| Davion Bradford * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -3.4 |
| D.J. Hughes | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -7.0 |
| Gabe Sisk | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3.7 |
| Maki Johnson | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Roosevelt Wheeler | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Allen Strothers | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +4.2 |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Freeman * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | +8.2 |
| Xavier Brown * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | +12.6 |
| AJ Smith * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | +15.2 |
| Elijah Hutchins-Everett * | 23 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | +10.6 |
| Eddie Ricks III * | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +5.9 |
| Bryce Lindsay | 29 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Noah Williams | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.2 |
| Ebenezer Dowuona | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -8.3 |
| Luke Anderson | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.7 |
| Justin Taylor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter