Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Davidson Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Davidson Wildcats +6 (76-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Buggs III * | 35 | 5-14 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | -1 | -5.6 |
| Quimari Peterson * | 34 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | -0.7 |
| Jaden Seymour * | 32 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | +1.3 |
| Karon Boyd * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | -4.6 |
| Davion Bradford * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +4.0 |
| Allen Strothers | 29 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3.6 |
| D.J. Hughes | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -10.8 |
| Curt Lewis | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -8.9 |
| Maki Johnson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.0 |
| Roosevelt Wheeler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gabe Sisk | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Durkin * | 36 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +5.6 |
| Reed Bailey * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 13 | +4.7 |
| Connor Kochera * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +6.8 |
| Mike Loughnane * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
| Sean Logan * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -0.0 |
| Roberts Blums | 24 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +10.9 |
| Zach Laput | 22 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +5.1 |
| Hunter Adam | 21 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Joe Hurlburt | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Riccardo Ghedini | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter