Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.0% | 99.0% | +25.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +35 (101-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Brown * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -1 | -31.2 |
| Toneari Lane * | 30 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | -26.7 |
| Cesare Edwards * | 28 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | -33.2 |
| Nick McMullen * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | -10.8 |
| Zarique Nutter * | 25 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 0 | -20.6 |
| Jelani Hamilton | 17 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -7.5 |
| Clash Peters | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -14.9 |
| Malik Ferguson | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -13.1 |
| Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5.3 |
| Darnell Evans | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +7.9 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard * | 25 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 18 | +31.2 |
| Claudell Harris Jr. * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +41.1 |
| KeShawn Murphy * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | +15.5 |
| RJ Melendez * | 18 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +10.6 |
| Michael Nwoko * | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +9.6 |
| Riley Kugel | 20 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +44.1 |
| Kanye Clary | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | +8.2 |
| Cameron Matthews | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | +19.3 |
| Dellquan Warren | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 11 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Gai Chol | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Jeremy Foumena | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.0 |
| Martavious Russell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.9 |
| Harrison Alexander | 4 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -7.9 |
| Trey Jackson III | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5.0 |
* = starter