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2024-12-15

Model Predictions

Model UC San Diego Tritons Idaho Vandals Spread Result
Elo 89.3% 10.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 90.7% 9.3% - โœ“
Margin 95.4% 4.6% -16.7 โœ“ (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 70.4% 29.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 70.2% 29.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 95.6% 4.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 95.6% 4.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 82.3% 17.7% - โœ“

Actual: Idaho Vandals -24 (56-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC San Diego Tritons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler McGhie 31 8-18 5-11 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 21 5 +12.4
Hayden Gray 30 4-8 2-4 1-4 4 3 5 1 5 11 11 +15.7
Chris Howell 29 0-2 0-1 8-8 6 2 1 0 1 8 14 +8.5
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones 28 8-9 0-0 5-7 5 1 1 1 1 21 19 +16.4
Nordin Kapic 26 2-8 1-6 2-4 10 1 2 0 1 7 11 +5.6
Justin Rochelin 25 2-7 1-4 0-0 6 1 2 0 1 5 6 +19.0
Aidan Burke 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 2 4 -2.0
Maximo Milovich 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 +0.1
Cade Pendleton 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +0.8
Ryder Elisaldez 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -2.6
Jasen Brooks 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Idaho Vandals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Mrus 32 7-11 6-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 20 10 -12.6
Kolton Mitchell 27 4-9 3-6 1-1 2 3 2 0 2 12 8 -15.7
Kristian Gonzalez 21 3-5 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 8 5 -7.8
Julius Mims 19 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 2 3 4 -8.7
Jojo Anderson 15 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 5 3 +1.4
Jack Payne 15 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 0 +1.4
Ewan Steele 15 1-3 0-0 1-3 8 1 0 0 0 3 9 -4.0
Tyler Linhardt 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 -1 -5.8
Miles Klapper 12 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -3.2
Isaiah Brickner 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -5.2
Titus Yearout 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 +3.0
Takai Hardy 6 0-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 +0.2
Kyson Rose 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -1.9
Jack Hatten 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jayden Stevens 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -4.5

* = starter