Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Idaho Vandals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✗ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Idaho Vandals -4 (75-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Johnson * | 38 | 10-23 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 18 | +3.4 |
| Pablo Tamba * | 34 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | +8.9 |
| Leo DeBruhl * | 32 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Sione Lose * | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +11.7 |
| Niko Rocak * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | +11.3 |
| Connor Sevilla | 29 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -7.3 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -10.2 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 9 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | -3.4 |
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mrus * | 37 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | -3.2 |
| Kristian Gonzalez * | 30 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 4-7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | -8.6 |
| Kolton Mitchell * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1 | -0.5 |
| Jack Payne * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 4-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -8.5 |
| Julius Mims * | 20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 2 | -6.7 |
| Jojo Anderson | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +5.5 |
| Isaiah Brickner | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -2.7 |
| Kyson Rose | 16 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | +8.2 |
| Jayden Stevens | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter