Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Weber State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.6% | 50.4% | -1.5 | ✗ (3.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.0% | 37.0% | -2.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Weber State Wildcats -5 (67-72). Ratings: 2024-25 season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake O'Neil * | 38 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | +2.5 |
| Dylan Darling * | 37 | 9-16 | 3-9 | 9-10 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 21 | -1.1 |
| Isaiah Griffin * | 31 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -1.7 |
| Connor Hollenbeck * | 30 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | -0.6 |
| Evan Otten * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +8.4 |
| Jackson Greene | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| AJ Burgin | 13 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.4 |
| Blake Daberkow | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -9.3 |
| Jaedyn Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaise Threatt * | 39 | 8-18 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Trevor Hennig * | 35 | 8-11 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | -3.6 |
| Nigel Burris * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -5.5 |
| Declan Cutler * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6.8 |
| Viljami Vartiainen * | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +8.6 |
| Alex Tew | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +5.6 |
| Saadiq Moore | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -4.5 |
| Vasilije Vucinic | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nemanja Sarenac | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Marko Sarenac | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter