Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Weber State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.4 | ✗ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Weber State Wildcats +4 (77-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Towt | 37 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | +0.7 |
| Trent McLaughlin | 37 | 13-24 | 7-14 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 23 | +0.0 |
| Jayden Jackson | 35 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +5.8 |
| Diego Campisano | 29 | 4-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +6.0 |
| Monty Bowser | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +6.7 |
| Dillan Baker | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Leigh Rickwood-Pitt | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -15.4 |
| Ryan Abelman | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -10.2 |
| Oakland Fort | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -8.2 |
| Ali Ragab | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| C.J. Ford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyson Koehler | 37 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +5.1 |
| Trevor Hennig | 34 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Blaise Threatt | 34 | 12-18 | 1-3 | 9-12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 26 | -2.2 |
| Viljami Vartiainen | 26 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +5.6 |
| Nigel Burris | 15 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +10.0 |
| Alex Tew | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +5.2 |
| Vasilije Vucinic | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.0 |
| Saadiq Moore | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Declan Cutler | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3.0 |
* = starter