Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Weber State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.6% | 31.4% | -4.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Weber State Wildcats -9 (71-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Agbonkpolo | 29 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +19.1 |
| Brandon Walker | 27 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | +13.4 |
| Bryce Zephir | 27 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +17.2 |
| Jed Miller | 24 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 12-12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 25 | +6.5 |
| Jabe Mullins | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2.4 |
| Patrick McMahon | 22 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +3.6 |
| Sam Lecholat | 17 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +9.5 |
| Brian Goracke | 12 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4.1 |
| BJ Kolly | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -1.1 |
| Tyler Patterson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3.9 |
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saadiq Moore | 34 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 3 | -6.9 |
| Dyson Koehler | 34 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -16.2 |
| Viljami Vartiainen | 28 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +2.3 |
| Nigel Burris | 25 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -11.4 |
| Miguel Tomley | 24 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | -14.2 |
| Trevor Hennig | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | -1.3 |
| Alex Tew | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -10.5 |
| Vasilije Vucinic | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -15.8 |
| Declan Cutler | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +7.9 |
* = starter