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2025-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Weber State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 86.4% 13.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 84.0% 16.0% - โœ“
Margin 72.3% 27.7% -5.3 โœ“ (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 63.1% 36.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 61.6% 38.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 81.7% 18.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 81.7% 18.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 60.8% 39.2% - โœ“

Actual: Weber State Wildcats -4 (59-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Te'Jon Sawyer 31 6-10 1-2 4-4 7 0 1 2 2 17 15 +0.6
Malik Moore 30 5-11 2-5 6-8 3 1 0 0 0 18 11 -1.5
Brandon Whitney 29 3-8 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 7 1 -1.3
Money Williams 28 1-7 0-1 1-2 3 3 1 0 4 3 -1 -2.7
Joe Pridgen 28 4-7 0-0 0-2 10 0 0 0 0 8 11 +3.2
Austin Patterson 21 1-2 1-2 2-2 5 1 2 0 0 5 11 +1.2
Kai Johnson 18 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 2 2 0 0 2 1 -1.4
Jensen Bradtke 7 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 +2.5
Amari Jedkins 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 1 3 +6.2
Zack Davidson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.3

Weber State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dyson Koehler 39 4-12 2-8 0-2 2 0 1 0 0 10 1 +2.6
Vasilije Vucinic 36 3-5 0-0 7-8 9 2 1 0 2 13 18 -3.5
Miguel Tomley 32 7-17 2-6 0-0 6 1 0 0 5 16 1 +4.0
Viljami Vartiainen 27 1-4 1-1 0-0 5 4 0 0 2 3 6 +6.3
Saadiq Moore 23 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 4 3 0 1 2 5 +7.7
Nigel Burris 20 3-4 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 2 0 7 10 -13.6
Trevor Hennig 12 2-3 1-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 -6.8
Alex Tew 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 +0.4
Declan Cutler 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter