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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Weber State Wildcats Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 33.8% 66.2% -
Bradley-Terry 22.8% 77.2% -
Margin 25.2% 74.8% +6.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 32.6% 67.4% -
Efficiency 34.2% 65.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.2% 70.8% -
Log Adjusted 29.0% 71.0% -
Points Off/Def 36.4% 63.6% -

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +3 (80-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Weber State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Threatt 39 7-14 0-2 1-2 3 6 1 0 1 15 10 -3.2
D. Koehler 36 4-8 2-6 3-3 5 0 2 1 1 13 12 +2.0
V. Vartiainen 28 3-7 2-4 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 10 5 +3.1
V. Vucinic 27 7-11 0-0 5-5 8 0 1 0 0 19 17 +6.7
M. Tomley 25 2-9 2-8 4-4 4 2 0 0 4 10 3 -4.9
T. Hennig 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -7.1
D. Cutler 11 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 5 3 -3.8
S. Moore 9 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -5.0
M. Sarenac 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.1
A. Tew 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jackson 36 7-14 2-2 5-6 4 1 0 0 0 21 12 +2.9
O. Fort 31 3-6 1-2 2-2 3 4 2 0 0 9 12 -5.1
T. McLaughlin 30 12-20 3-6 3-5 7 2 1 0 2 30 18 +3.1
L. Rickwood-Pitt 24 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 2 1 0 3 4 5 +8.8
M. Bowser 22 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 2 +7.2
D. Campisano 16 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 +0.8
D. Baker 16 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 5 +1.1
A. Ragab 12 1-1 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 1 0 2 6 +0.0
C. Towt 8 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -5.0
R. Abelman 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +1.0

* = starter