Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Weber State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | +2.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Weber State Wildcats +3 (73-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Butler * | 40 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | -4.2 |
| Marcus Johnson * | 31 | 3-15 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -4 | +2.1 |
| Javontae Campbell * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | -4.1 |
| Trey Thomas * | 26 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | -1.3 |
| W. Exacte * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -11.1 |
| Braelon Green | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | -2.9 |
| Preston Squire | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Jamai Felt | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +1.8 |
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaise Threatt * | 37 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 18 | +11.0 |
| Dyson Koehler * | 36 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | +8.0 |
| Miguel Tomley * | 27 | 6-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | +10.1 |
| Nigel Burris * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5.8 |
| Alex Tew * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Viljami Vartiainen | 26 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -1 | +2.4 |
| Vasilije Vucinic | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Trevor Hennig | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6.4 |
| Declan Cutler | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.2 |
| Saadiq Moore | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.9 |
* = starter