Model Predictions
| Model | UT Martin Skyhawks | Longwood Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.7% | 82.3% | +8.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Longwood Lancers +2 (64-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afan Trnka * | 28 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -8.1 |
| Tarence Guinyard * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| Lamine Niang * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | -0.1 |
| Vladimer Salaridze * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3.1 |
| M. Žužić * | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +4.4 |
| Josué Grullon | 26 | 7-13 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | -2.4 |
| Carlos Cortijo | 25 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +0.4 |
| Stefano Faloppa | 18 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +1.7 |
| AJ Hopkins | 17 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KJ McClurg * | 31 | 7-14 | 5-11 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 13 | -1.4 |
| Michael Christmas * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | -0.0 |
| Colby Garland * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -6.3 |
| Kyrell Luc * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -2.2 |
| Elijah Tucker * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Johan Nziemi | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +14.5 |
| Emanuel Richards | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +1.0 |
| Angelo Brizzi | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -3.5 |
| Jaylen Benard | 15 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Trey Hicks | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.2 |
| DJ Jefferson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Leo Nordberg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter