Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Longwood Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.9% | 91.1% | +12.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Longwood Lancers +18 (84-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amahrie Simpkins * | 32 | 7-8 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | -17.1 |
| Wynston Tabbs * | 27 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | -10.3 |
| Rob Lawson * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -8.6 |
| Daniel Akitoby * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -6.6 |
| Logan Schayes * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +1.8 |
| Kameron Hobbs | 25 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | -11.7 |
| Kiran Oliver | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -6.1 |
| Will Thomas | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -11.7 |
| Marland Harris | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -10.1 |
| Demajion Topps | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -4.9 |
| Matar Wade | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Trent Edwards | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Pierce Shirk | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pre. Idiaru | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Michael Christmas * | 26 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 7-11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 16 | +14.9 |
| KJ McClurg * | 26 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | +12.6 |
| Colby Garland * | 25 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | +9.6 |
| Johan Nziemi * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +13.7 |
| Emanuel Richards * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +1.6 |
| Kyrell Luc | 26 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | +18.1 |
| Jaylen Benard | 19 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +12.7 |
| Angelo Brizzi | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | +3.6 |
| Elijah Tucker | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +7.6 |
| DJ Jefferson | 6 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -4.9 |
| Trey Hicks | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Leo Nordberg | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Stark Jones | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Kris Mickens | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter