Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | High Point Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.0% | 87.0% | +10.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: High Point Panthers +6 (65-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Huntley | 38 | 4-14 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 6 | -6.0 |
| J. Threadgill | 37 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -7.2 |
| M. Tate | 36 | 9-19 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 15 | -3.8 |
| D. Conners | 34 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4.2 |
| M. Marcus Jr. | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +9.2 |
| L. Wilson | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -17.9 |
| J. Clarke Jr. | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| A. Dodd | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.3 |
| J. Muttilib | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| A. Alston | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
High Point Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Johnston | 26 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +7.7 |
| K. Giffa | 25 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +4.4 |
| B. Pettiford Jr. | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -4.8 |
| S. Hildebrandt | 22 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | +8.3 |
| T. Anderson | 22 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 14 | +1.2 |
| J. Bodo Bodo | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | +19.9 |
| D'M. Williams | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -0.5 |
| K. Hamilton | 16 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -4.6 |
| A. Thiam | 16 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | +4.6 |
| T. Benham | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.4 |
| T. Sargiunas | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter