Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | High Point Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.1 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: High Point Panthers +7 (80-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Stephens * | 37 | 9-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | -6.5 |
| Geoff Sprouse * | 32 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | -8.6 |
| Matt Rogers * | 32 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | -7.1 |
| Colin Smalls * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Greg Jones * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -4.4 |
| Lincoln Ball | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | -3.5 |
| Matt Mayock | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -8.6 |
| Eric Michaels | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Wyatt Nausadis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
High Point Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'M. Williams * | 39 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | +8.5 |
| Kimani Hamilton * | 38 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 7-11 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Abdoulaye Thiam * | 29 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | +11.2 |
| Chase Johnston * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +5.9 |
| Juslin Bodo Bodo * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Titas Sargiunas | 19 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Josh Ibukunoluwa | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2.7 |
| Braden Hausen | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -3.8 |
| Trae Benham | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.4 |
* = starter