Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.0% | 31.0% | -4.4 | ✓ (25.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -30 (42-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Rivers | 31 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 17 | +12.7 |
| A. James | 30 | 5-19 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +11.6 |
| Z. Brooks | 29 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +8.3 |
| M. Hayes | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +0.0 |
| M. Collier | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | +11.1 |
| Z. Jones | 20 | 7-8 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | +3.1 |
| T. Trygger | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -0.7 |
| M. Cox | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +11.9 |
| Laci Steele | 11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -0.1 |
| D. Quigley | 5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -0.0 |
| L. Awou | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.0 |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Russell | 28 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +0.3 |
| T. Roberts | 24 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -12.1 |
| J. Curry | 23 | 1-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -10.5 |
| N. Harris | 22 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | -10.3 |
| O. Cochran | 20 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | -10.5 |
| I. Berry | 16 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -2.8 |
| J. Williams | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +0.3 |
| M. Randolph | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2.1 |
| E. Istanbulluoglu | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Izela Arenas | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +0.1 |
| R. Bender | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| I. Juffermans | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -8.0 |
| A. Hardy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +0.0 |
* = starter