Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego Toreros | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots +16 (81-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego Toreros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Horstmeyer | 36 | 12-16 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 20 | -7.4 |
| A. Ranson | 35 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | -5.3 |
| H. Rhodes | 35 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | -5.6 |
| D. Moore | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3.0 |
| T. Reilly | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -4.4 |
| J. Rhodes | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -0.8 |
| M. Tharpe | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -6.4 |
| C. Gallagher | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | -3.4 |
| L. Amor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Burnham | 30 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 16 | +9.6 |
| M. Meek | 27 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | +4.4 |
| T. Hull | 27 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +8.6 |
| A. Mark | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 15 | +5.1 |
| E. Shearer | 24 | 8-12 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 14 | +1.5 |
| R. Mogel | 19 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4.0 |
| N. Fraley | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | +4.7 |
| L. Spear | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.2 |
| T. Barbosa | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3.7 |
| E. Zimmerman | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2.2 |
| E. Strelein | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.2 |
| A. Eddy | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +0.2 |
* = starter