Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.1% | 76.9% | +6.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +13 (80-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Ward | 33 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -8.3 |
| Liz Smith | 33 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | +0.3 |
| Elizabeth Elliott | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 13 | -19.1 |
| Anaya James | 28 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -11.6 |
| Daria Nestorov | 25 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | -13.6 |
| Nyah Lowery | 23 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -14.8 |
| Jamie Kent | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Marina Radocaj | 11 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -6.7 |
| Tyla Fautua | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freja Werth | 35 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 22 | +12.8 |
| Emma Trawally Porta | 33 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +25.0 |
| Luana Leite | 31 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | +14.0 |
| Cami Fulcher | 28 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | +23.6 |
| A. Keita | 25 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | +4.6 |
| Elle Papahronis | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Mia Vuksic | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +5.9 |
| Angeliki Ziaka | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Seynabou Thiam | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
* = starter