Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | Santa Clara Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.3% | 46.7% | -0.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +11 (69-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Smith | 38 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 11 | -7.6 |
| Anaya James | 30 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -7.3 |
| Elizabeth Elliott | 30 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -9.2 |
| Sydney Ward | 29 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | -10.2 |
| Marina Radocaj | 26 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -4 | -8.0 |
| Daria Nestorov | 18 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | -7.7 |
| Jamie Kent | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Nyah Lowery | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.7 |
| Luisa Anderegg | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.2 |
| Lauren Glazier | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.1 |
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Pollerd | 40 | 10-17 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 18 | +15.1 |
| Malia Latu | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 10 | +12.7 |
| Madison Naro | 33 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +6.3 |
| Kaya Ingram | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +5.8 |
| Hannah Rapp | 27 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | +6.7 |
| Alana Goodchild | 21 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +8.2 |
| Mia Curtis | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +7.3 |
| Georgia Grigoropoulou | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -0.5 |
* = starter