Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | Pepperdine Waves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.6% | 23.4% | -6.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pepperdine Waves -15 (43-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Ward | 34 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +15.1 |
| Liz Smith | 28 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -2.5 |
| Marina Radocaj | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +10.5 |
| Anaya James | 23 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +20.4 |
| Daria Nestorov | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +4.5 |
| Tyla Fautua | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +19.3 |
| Nyah Lowery | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +6.4 |
| Jamie Kent | 12 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | -9.9 |
| Lauren Glazier | 12 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +4.5 |
| Stella Szabo | 11 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -5.2 |
| Luisa Anderegg | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -8.8 |
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mal. Mastora | 33 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -15.3 |
| Chloe Sotell | 32 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | -3 | -3.5 |
| Mak. Mastora | 30 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -15.4 |
| Emerita Mashaire | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -9.8 |
| Megan Harkey | 23 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -11.3 |
| Ella Brubaker | 16 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -11.3 |
| Maggie Vick | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Ornela Muca | 11 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -8 | -14.2 |
| Helena Friend | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +5.6 |
| Hailey Johnson | 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +8.3 |
* = starter