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2024-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Pacific Tigers Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 7.9% 92.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 10.7% 89.3% - โœ“
Margin 8.6% 91.4% +13.0 โœ“ (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 29.0% 71.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 29.0% 71.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.5% 93.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.5% 93.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 22.5% 77.5% - โœ“

Actual: Portland Pilots +13 (84-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. James 39 6-12 0-1 3-6 11 7 5 0 3 15 23 -5.7
L. Smith 34 5-10 0-3 4-4 2 2 1 0 4 14 5 +0.6
Sydney Ward 28 2-5 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 2 5 6 5 -11.5
E. Elliott 26 9-10 0-0 6-7 6 1 0 0 0 24 21 +6.2
Nyah Lowery 23 0-6 0-2 1-2 4 1 2 0 4 1 -2 -6.1
Marina Radocaj 22 1-5 0-0 7-8 4 1 1 0 2 9 8 -7.6
Lauren Glazier 20 1-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 3 1 2 1 -4.5
Tyla Fautua 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -5 -3.0
Daria Nestorov 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 +0.1

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Shearer 38 6-17 1-5 9-9 11 4 2 1 4 22 19 +7.9
M. Meek 25 2-3 2-3 1-2 0 4 0 0 1 7 7 +2.2
D. Ananiev 24 4-13 3-8 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 11 3 +8.6
A. Mark 24 4-11 0-1 1-4 4 4 4 1 3 9 8 -0.9
M. Burnham 23 3-8 1-4 6-7 5 2 0 0 3 13 9 -1.8
L. Spear 22 4-7 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 9 6 +7.1
R. Mogel 19 0-4 0-2 2-4 0 2 1 0 1 2 0 +7.7
T. Hull 16 4-4 1-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 11 9 +1.8
N. Fraley 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1.0
T. Barbosa 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +6.2
E. Zimmerman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9

* = starter