๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2025-02-13

Model Predictions

Model San Diego Toreros Pacific Tigers Spread Result
Elo 16.3% 83.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 19.0% 81.0% - โœ—
Margin 14.4% 85.6% +9.8 โœ— (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 29.8% 70.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 19.6% 80.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 10.1% 89.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 9.9% 90.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 28.6% 71.4% - โœ—

Actual: Pacific Tigers -3 (72-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego Toreros

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kylie Horstmeyer 44 10-16 3-3 3-4 4 1 2 0 3 26 14 +8.5
Ava Ranson 38 4-14 1-4 5-6 1 10 0 0 3 14 8 +2.9
Jayden Rhodes 36 3-7 0-0 0-0 8 1 4 0 2 6 10 +7.1
Hallie Rhodes 36 2-5 0-0 1-2 9 4 2 0 5 5 10 +11.5
Truitt Reilly 20 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 3 0 1 8 10 +5.4
Malia Tharpe 19 2-7 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 4 2 +9.8
Claire Gallagher 17 2-6 2-6 3-3 1 1 1 0 2 9 4 +0.6
Dresha Moore 12 1-1 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 2 3 2 +0.8
Lilly Amor 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.7

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anaya James 40 3-17 1-6 5-5 4 3 6 1 3 12 6 -4.7
Elizabeth Elliott 37 10-18 0-0 3-4 11 0 0 0 3 23 13 -4.9
Liz Smith 36 2-14 1-9 8-10 2 5 2 0 3 13 5 -7.1
Daria Nestorov 30 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 7 7 -3.2
Jamie Kent 26 3-7 0-1 2-4 9 0 2 0 2 8 10 -10.0
Sydney Ward 25 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 3 1 4 6 -4.2
Nyah Lowery 14 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 -2 -5.0
Stella Szabo 9 2-7 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 1 -6.5
Marina Radocaj 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -3.6
Tyla Fautua 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.2

* = starter