Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego Toreros | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | โ |
| Margin | 14.4% | 85.6% | +9.8 | โ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | โ |
| Efficiency | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | โ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers -3 (72-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego Toreros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylie Horstmeyer | 44 | 10-16 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 14 | +8.5 |
| Ava Ranson | 38 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | +2.9 |
| Jayden Rhodes | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | +7.1 |
| Hallie Rhodes | 36 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | +11.5 |
| Truitt Reilly | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +5.4 |
| Malia Tharpe | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +9.8 |
| Claire Gallagher | 17 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Dresha Moore | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +0.8 |
| Lilly Amor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anaya James | 40 | 3-17 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 6 | -4.7 |
| Elizabeth Elliott | 37 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | -4.9 |
| Liz Smith | 36 | 2-14 | 1-9 | 8-10 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | -7.1 |
| Daria Nestorov | 30 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -3.2 |
| Jamie Kent | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -10.0 |
| Sydney Ward | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -4.2 |
| Nyah Lowery | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -5.0 |
| Stella Szabo | 9 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -6.5 |
| Marina Radocaj | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Tyla Fautua | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
* = starter