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2025-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos Pacific Tigers Spread Result
Elo 49.3% 50.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 42.5% 57.5% - โœ“
Margin 27.5% 72.5% +5.3 โœ“ (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 37.4% 62.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.9% 63.1% - โœ“

Actual: Pacific Tigers +11 (75-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Olivia Pollerd 39 11-17 3-4 2-4 4 1 1 0 3 27 13 -2.5
Madison Naro 35 1-6 0-2 0-0 1 5 1 0 6 2 -3 -2.1
Malia Latu 35 6-12 0-1 1-2 5 3 1 0 4 13 6 -6.3
Kaya Ingram 27 1-6 0-2 4-4 3 1 2 0 2 6 4 -11.9
Hannah Rapp 21 2-4 2-3 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 6 7 -7.1
Georgia Grigoropoulou 17 1-2 0-1 1-2 7 2 0 1 0 3 11 +5.8
Mia Curtis 12 3-4 1-2 0-1 1 0 1 0 1 7 4 +7.4
Alana Goodchild 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -3.5
Irena Korolenko 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.8

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sydney Ward 37 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 1 1 2 8 -0.8
Elizabeth Elliott 34 6-12 0-0 2-5 10 1 3 1 2 14 15 +3.5
Liz Smith 33 5-9 1-1 0-2 2 6 1 0 0 11 11 +10.6
Anaya James 33 6-9 1-2 6-8 4 2 2 1 2 19 17 +4.5
Marina Radocaj 32 7-12 0-1 5-6 6 2 1 1 3 19 14 +3.9
Nyah Lowery 17 2-7 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 5 1 -7.4
Luisa Anderegg 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +7.5
Daria Nestorov 5 1-1 1-1 2-2 0 0 2 0 2 5 4 +1.9

* = starter