Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.3% | 68.7% | +4.3 | ✗ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers -2 (78-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeryhia Aokuso | 39 | 7-11 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 10 | +6.9 |
| Kennedy Johnson | 39 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Abigail Shoff | 35 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +7.6 |
| Maia Jones | 34 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +2.4 |
| Emily Foy | 24 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +12.6 |
| Jada Hunter | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +13.4 |
| Amy Kurkowski | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Melesungu Afeaki | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -14.3 |
| Edie Clarke | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anaya James | 41 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 12 | -2.7 |
| Liz Smith | 40 | 8-19 | 5-13 | 9-10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 20 | -2.7 |
| Sydney Ward | 36 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -2.0 |
| Elizabeth Elliott | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 9 | +3.4 |
| Marina Radocaj | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -9.0 |
| Lauren Glazier | 18 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | -9.4 |
| Nyah Lowery | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Stella Szabo | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.8 |
| Daria Nestorov | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -0.6 |
| Tyla Fautua | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter