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2025-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers Pacific Tigers Spread Result
Elo 74.6% 25.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 61.0% 39.0% - โœ—
Margin 66.6% 33.4% -3.8 โœ— (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 58.3% 41.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 74.5% 25.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 74.7% 25.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 56.3% 43.7% - โœ—

Actual: Pacific Tigers +1 (67-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Catarina Ferreira 41 2-10 0-1 0-2 7 5 6 1 3 4 10 -11.4
Kennedie Shuler 40 3-5 1-2 2-4 2 3 2 0 4 9 7 -6.4
AJ Marotte 39 3-12 0-3 2-2 3 4 1 0 4 8 0 -7.6
Kelsey Rees 37 9-16 0-0 4-4 6 0 0 0 3 22 9 +7.6
Tiara Bolden 37 9-12 2-4 0-0 4 1 5 0 4 20 14 -4.7
Ally Schimel 16 1-6 0-3 1-2 2 0 1 1 0 3 1 +7.3
Sela Heide 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 0 2 -6.4
Cloe Vecina 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.1

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anaya James 37 9-18 2-5 4-4 2 4 3 0 1 24 14 +7.2
Liz Smith 31 3-11 1-4 6-9 3 2 3 0 5 13 5 -1.1
Jamie Kent 27 2-8 0-1 0-0 9 0 0 2 4 4 3 +1.5
Marina Radocaj 26 2-5 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 0 2 4 0 -3.9
Nyah Lowery 26 0-4 0-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 0 2 +7.7
Sydney Ward 24 0-3 0-1 3-4 4 0 0 1 3 3 2 +3.5
Elizabeth Elliott 24 5-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 10 10 +4.9
Lauren Glazier 15 1-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 1 2 3 0 +0.4
Daria Nestorov 15 2-3 2-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 6 6 +5.8

* = starter