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2025-01-30

Model Predictions

Model San Diego Toreros Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 4.7% 95.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 5.2% 94.8% - โœ“
Margin 3.2% 96.8% +18.7 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 19.8% 80.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 19.8% 80.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 14.9% 85.1% - โœ“

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +16 (64-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego Toreros

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Horstmeyer 35 3-9 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 6 1 +0.3
D. Moore 30 3-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 4 6 4 +15.2
A. Ranson 28 3-11 0-2 4-4 3 1 0 0 6 10 -3 +3.7
L. McCall 27 3-8 1-5 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 7 2 +2.7
H. Rhodes 25 2-6 0-0 2-2 2 3 1 0 2 6 4 +10.8
T. Reilly 23 3-6 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 1 0 7 6 +0.8
J. Rhodes 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 2 3 -0.8
C. Gallagher 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +4.4
L. Amor 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 +0.0
M. Tharpe 4 1-2 0-0 2-3 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 +5.8

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Ejim 33 9-16 0-0 7-8 8 0 2 2 4 25 17 -4.1
Ines Bettencourt 30 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 6 0 0 0 2 6 -8.1
McKynnlie Dalan 29 2-4 0-0 0-1 5 1 3 0 1 4 8 -12.1
T. Dalton 28 4-7 1-3 0-0 7 3 2 0 3 9 11 -0.5
Allie Turner 24 3-13 1-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 7 -3 -4.2
C. O'Connor 23 5-7 1-3 1-2 3 2 0 1 2 12 9 -3.0
Bree Salenbien 19 1-5 1-3 2-2 2 0 1 2 2 5 3 +1.4
Christabel Osarobo 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 4 -8.1
Vera Gunaydin 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -0.1

* = starter