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2025-02-01

Model Predictions

Model Pacific Tigers Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 8.7% 91.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 20.1% 79.9% - โœ“
Margin 11.4% 88.6% +11.3 โœ“ (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 8.8% 91.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.8% 91.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.5% 74.5% - โœ“

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +4 (68-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Smith 38 6-16 1-5 5-6 5 4 1 0 3 18 9 -6.6
Sydney Ward 37 2-4 2-4 1-2 10 0 0 0 1 7 12 -4.6
E. Elliott 32 9-9 0-0 1-4 7 1 2 0 2 19 18 -6.8
A. James 30 3-16 1-5 0-0 2 7 3 0 2 7 1 -6.7
Nyah Lowery 23 2-6 1-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 5 2 -0.3
Marina Radocaj 16 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 -2 -10.7
Daria Nestorov 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -1.6
Jamie Kent 8 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 +0.3
Lauren Glazier 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -5.7
Stella Szabo 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.1

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Allie Turner 33 8-12 6-7 0-0 4 2 1 0 6 22 11 +9.3
T. Dalton 32 3-4 2-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 8 9 +4.1
E. Little 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 3 0 5 +8.3
Y. Ejim 29 7-14 1-4 8-8 12 1 3 1 3 23 23 +10.5
Bree Salenbien 25 1-4 0-1 2-4 4 4 0 0 3 4 5 +5.3
Ines Bettencourt 22 1-5 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 4 2 +5.3
C. O'Connor 17 2-8 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 6 2 +5.1
McKynnlie Dalan 11 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 1 3 +1.5

* = starter