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2025-02-01

Model Predictions

Model Pacific Tigers Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 7.9% 92.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.1% 82.9% - โœ“
Margin 11.5% 88.5% +11.2 โœ“ (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 13.6% 86.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 8.9% 91.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.8% 91.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.1% 73.9% - โœ“

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +4 (68-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Liz Smith 38 6-16 1-5 5-6 5 4 1 0 3 18 9 +7.7
Sydney Ward 37 2-4 2-4 1-2 10 0 0 0 1 7 12 +5.0
Elizabeth Elliott 32 9-9 0-0 1-4 7 1 2 0 2 19 18 +1.9
Anaya James 30 3-16 1-5 0-0 2 7 3 0 2 7 1 -4.4
Nyah Lowery 23 2-6 1-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 5 2 +4.4
Marina Radocaj 16 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 -2 -0.2
Daria Nestorov 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -1.5
Jamie Kent 8 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 -2.9
Lauren Glazier 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -1.3
Stella Szabo 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.8

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Allie Turner 33 8-12 6-7 0-0 4 2 1 0 6 22 11 +11.5
Tayla Dalton 32 3-4 2-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 8 9 -11.0
Esther Little 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 3 0 5 +2.8
Yvonne Ejim 29 7-14 1-4 8-8 12 1 3 1 3 23 23 +17.4
Bree Salenbien 25 1-4 0-1 2-4 4 4 0 0 3 4 5 +3.8
Ines Bettencourt 22 1-5 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 4 2 -16.3
Claire O'Connor 17 2-8 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 6 2 +3.5
McKynnlie Dalan 11 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 1 3 -9.7

* = starter